It was the only Western Australian seat to record a swing to Labor at the election. Please note: this is a change from previous elections. He now works in the resources sector. I agree he will hold with his margin cut in half. Richard Payerchin covers Lorain City Hall, area schools, business news, features and other interesting stories for The Morning Journal. Siwes describes herself as one of nine children from a hard-working family and states that she has seen her fair share of poverty and the toll on families caused by the injustices of the family law courts. As a kayak enthusiast, he has paddled the Black River, Sandusky Bay and along much of the Lake Erie shoreline in between them. WA is largely a mystery to me. Pollsters are better at measuring what people are going to do with their primary vote than trying to work out what people will do with the preferences. Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. It is significant that the one against trend result occurred in 2010 when Labor nominated a high profile candidate in Alannah MacTiernan and mounted a more vigorous campaign. He joined the military in 2001 following the September 11 attacks and moved to Western Australia in 2010 to undertake SAS training. Avon Schools are top performers academically but at the bottom for dollars spent per pupil, Weigman said. A list of profiles for Electorates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022. For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Also, unemployment is certainly becoming a problem in Armadale. [3] The Liberals retained the seat; however, Canning was the only Western Australian seat to see a two-party preferred swing toward the Australian Labor Party. Q: Two-and-a-half weeks out, what are you seeing in the polling data? Jobs and crime, particularly drug-related crime, especially ice. Skip to main content. A mechanical draughtsman who operates a handyman business in Bunbury. Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. Redistribution Canning lost the Boddington council area to OConnor and lost Orange Grove to Burt. About half of the seats population is in the Mandurah council area, and this area has been split into Mandurah North and Mandurah South, along the river. MacTiernan contested and won Perth at the 2013 Federal election, while Don Randall had another swing in his favour in Canning. However, ReachTEL has 80% of preferences from minor parties flowing to Labor, which is not believable. The electorate covers 6,304 square kilometres. Rudd then took it off the agenda and proposed a mining tax which did huge damage to his popularity in the polls. Randall's lost 4% from his margin at the 2007 election and it was shaved further by a redistribution ahead of the 2010 election. the swing as measured as the difference between the percentage of first preference votes received by a party candidate at this election and the percentage of the first preference votes received by that party's candidate in the comparable polling places at the previous election. Tony Abbott was able to gain traction using a scare campaign on the CPRS. City of Canning - Local Government elections Local Government Elections An Ordinary Postal Election was held on Saturday 16 October 2021. Out of the four this seat is probably the Liberals best chance of retaining. Hopefully he will be toppled since hes essentially another Dutton and is likely the hard rights replacement for Dutton after Dutton loses or retires. Canning has been a seat for Labor like Greenway for the Liberals. Greens candidate Jodie Moffat is again standing for Canning after running in the 2019 election. Vanessa Rauland, with Senators Scott Ludlam and Rachel Siewert is standing for the Greens. (Map). Randall won Canning outright at the 2013 federal election, with 51.07% of the primary vote and a two-party-preferred margin of 11.8%. Compare their meagre vanity, arrogance, & propagandising, to the squalid excesses of the PM, Dan Andrews, or KK. It would be very handy for parts of the electorate to have the Armadale line extended to Byford. See also: Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 The Division of Canning stretches from Byford and Carmel in the north to Wagerup in the south, and is largely based around the Peel region of Western Australia to the south of Perth. Make sure all voices are respectfully heard. This election is a chance for Canning to send a strong message to Tony Abbott that hes taking Australia in the wrong direction. But the former SAS soldier has spent the past year accumulating a $200,000 campaign fighting fund as well as being dragged into Perth property developer Greg Polands attempt to sue Nine website WAtoday for defamation. Mr Waldeck said the United Australia Party had very clear policies and principles focused on providing a strong economy, affordable cost of living and providing freedom for Australians by returning their democratic rights. All over Canning people are telling me theyre angry about Tony Abbotts failure to create jobs and his cuts to schools and hospitals. We pay our respects to Elders past, present andemerging. Siwes has since established a local cleaning business in the wake of her dismissal. Polling is showing a swing to Labor a couple of percent higher than the national average. The unresolved question for me is: is there any limit on how tough Abbott can be on national security without it backfiring?. It was originally a country seat that traded hands between the two main centre-right parties, the Liberal and Country parties. Name Derivation: Jointly named in honour of: Sadie Miriam Canning MBE, 1930-2008. Since being elected he said he had worked hard to deliver for communities across the Canning electorate including roads and rail, health services, job opportunities, reliable mobile and internet coverage, and support for local volunteers. On the coast the electorate also includes Mandurah, Dawesville and most of the Mandurah City Council area. GREG SMITH, AUSTRALIAN DEFENCE VETERANS PARTY. Exactly right. The Liberal two-party votes ranged from 46.3% at the Riverside Primary School in the Mandurah suburbs of Greenfields, to 75.2% at rural Coolup Community Hall in the far south of the electorate. [1] Sadie Canning was Western Australia's, and . The late Don Randall was a popular Mp but its not the only reason. But how can they sell tax cuts without dismantling the rest of their argument about restoring the budget? He entered the workforce at age 15, back initially working for the curator of the biggest car museums in the state, then finding work in the horticultural industry. Theyre two different places with very different outlooks. The Liberal Party has held the seat since 2001. I was born and raised in Canning, I know the people and the issues. A4 map of the electoral division of Canning (2021) [PDF 1.54MB], Map of the Division of Canning (2021) [PDF 3.08MB]. Canning starts at Armadale and surrounding suburbs in Perth's south-east suburbs, but extends south down the South Western Highway to Waroona and along the Albany Highway to Boddington. Or the oily seductive lasciviousness of Tricky Dicky, or pork Bariilaro !!. 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University of Western Australia provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU. U.S. municipal elections, 2022. He said Australia faced many economic and strategic challenges in the years ahead and wanted to use his experience to protect the country's sovereignty and make it stronger. Committee Member - MNF Research Advisory Committee, PhD Scholarship - Uncle Isaac Brown Indigenous Scholarship, Associate Lecturer, Creative Writing and Literature. By Nathan Hondros. As of the 2022 election, it includes most of the Peel region, including the City of Mandurah and the Shires of Serpentine-Jarrahdale (including Byford and Mundijong), Murray (including Pinjarra, Yunderup and Dwellingup), and Waroona (including Waroona and Preston Beach). Ms Siwes said she had endured the vaccine mandates so was seeking to bring about a new wave of unity, solidarity and nationality during this federal campaign. Demographically wise, what seat or area would Canning be similar to on the east coast? The landscape of the seat has changed over time, originally being a rural seat, then moving towards southern metropolitan areas and now taking in Mandurah. Expect all the WA seats to have a larger than average swing to Labor the question is how large. Teede started her career as a primary school teacher and taught across regional Western Australia before before becoming the Managing Director of the regional TAFE college in the Goldfields-Esperence region. The Liberal Party won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in all four areas, ranging from 56.8% in Mandurah North to 62.5% in the south. Michelle Allen, Jim McCourt and Teresa Van Lieshout. But if he is even close to Bob Hawke that would be plenty better than what we are being offered now. But now that WAs boom is over, what about labourers? Id be really interested to know that, but I dont. Hastie was re-elected with a swing against him in 2016, but restored the Liberal margin back to former levels at the 2019 election. He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. William Bowe does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. What is the most pressing issue you will tackle, if elected? Address the learning gap created by disruption of the novel coronavirus pandemic in the 2020/2021 school year. the two-candidate-preferred results showing the percentages received for this election, the corresponding percentages received for the last election, and swing. The Division of Canning is an Australian Electoral Division in Western Australia. ANGELA SMITH, SUSTAINABLE POPULATION PARTY. As a lecturer at Curtin University, I oppose the Abbott Governments attempts to deter young people from university with fee hikes. The Australian Electoral Commission notes the seat has its etymology in Alfred Canning, a "surveyor who pioneered stock roads . His decision to enter politics was largely based on his perception that politicians had abandoned their working-class citizens. What might happen at the Victorian and WA federal redistributions. Ben Roberts-Smith case of any impact do you think? Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. There are an awful lot of factors at play here, which makes it really messy to analyse. Create the best learning environment possible. These boundary changes took place at the 2022 election. Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie has already survived a media storm surrounding his time served in Afghanistan. ABC News Homepage . 36 year-old Hastie was born in Wangaratta and spent most of his life in NSW. Voters should re-elect me to the Avon Local Schools Board of Education because throughout my tenure the district continues to show its fiscal responsibility by remaining in the bottom 8 percent of school district expenditure per pupil while continuing to be recognized as a high achieving school district by the state of Ohio, Tatman said. The Sunday Times and PerthNow asked the leaders of the three big parties, Liberals, Labor and Greens, to state their cases on why people should vote for them. The popularity of former MP Randall also boosted the Liberal vote. Moffat is a lawyer and has other experience from working part time as a carbon rights officer and disability advocate during her university studies as a mature aged law student. The results of the election are as follows: Bannister Ward: Amanda Spencer-Teo (expiry of term 18 October 2025) Beeliar Ward: Paul Tucek (expiry of term 18 October 2025) Hastie was appointed Assistant Minister for Defence in December 2020. Since 2012 she has served as the CEO of the Peel Development Commission and Chair of the Peel Workforce Development Alliance. W hen Matt Keogh was preselected to stand for Labor in the hotly contested byelection for the seat of Canning, near Perth, Western Australia, he was dismissively described by the foreign. I thought there will be more Red around Byford (mortgage belt) and Mandurah north of the estuary. Randall died in early 2015, and the ensuing by-election was won by Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie. It cant draw on a broader narrative that includes the economy and voters hip-pockets. The division was created in 1949 and is named for Alfred Canning,[1] the Western Australian government surveyor who surveyed the Canning Stock Route. Who would you vote for? If elected he said he would guarantee integrity, authenticity and determination. I have both the life experience and work experience from being an army captain with logistics, human resources, strategic planning, negotiation and team leadership that I will apply for the people of Canning. The No.1 issue Ill be pursuing is creating jobs. June 8, 2022. Ive seen how important it is for young people to have the opportunity to grow their skills, learn about their world and have access to better, 21st century jobs. Index to Candidates; Key . I will continue to understand the need to offer students a variety of educational opportunities so that they can explore more subject and educational content so as they have to start to choose a career path, they have had a variety of experiences to help with the decision-making process, she said. He had an easier victory in 2004, two changes of candidate ruining Labor's campaign and producing a 9.2% swing in Randall's favour, the largest swing to the Liberal Party in the country. 2015 Canning by-election The 2015 Canning by-election was held for the Australian House of Representatives on Saturday 19 September from 8 am to 6 pm WST. For Labor candidate Matt Keogh, I think Julie Bishops jibe that hes a hipster lawyer might bite a little. For most of its last three decades, it has been a highly marginal seat due to the balanced proportion of the urban north and the rural south, changing hands between the Australian Labor Party and the Liberal Party. Advertisement Ad Local News Oh gee, she's Sandra Dee: Peel actress steps into iconic Grease role Photo: AAP. None of the three main party candidates are able to vote in the election - Keogh and Hastie, who both moved into the electorate after being preselected, left it too late to change their enrolments. Hunt holds a Master of Business Leadership from Curtin University and a Bachelor of Social Sciences from Edith Cowan University. As I said, it is blue-collar, it doesnt have a large fly-in fly-out workforce as there arent a lot of people working in the mining industry there. Solar energy is directly helping to address rising energy costs and housing affordability. The less the focus is on national concerns the happier theyll be. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. So Id doubt that his emergence was entirely down to the local party branches. James Waldeck lives in Mandurah and has provided for his family of six by working in various management and supervisor roles in a multitude of industries. Growing up in the outer suburbs of Perth, Ms Hunt said she understood the challenges and opportunities that came with a fast growing region. For the past 25 years, Amanda Hunt has worked her way up in the community services sector finding herself in chief executive roles for the most part. Heading into the election, the last time a candidate won . Randall held Canning for over a decade, winning re-election in 2004, 2007, 2010 and 2013. MacTiernan's candidacy certainly had an impact, Canning recording a 2.2% swing to Labor in 2010. Increased Urban Sprawl in areas like Byford may help Labor longer term similar to what has happened in Victoria in the suburb of Pakenham as it has grown. [1] Its largest population centre is the City of Mandurah local government area to the south of Perth, also taking in the rural Boddington, Waroona, Murray and Serpentine-Jarrahdale Shires. Hastie served on was later Chair of the Joint Statutory Committee on Intelligence and Security. Election | A: Were seeing a lot of headlines about polls showing it at 50-50, but if you look at them carefully, theyre more favourable for the Liberals than that. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. Semi-retired. Redistributions of electoral boundaries are taken into account and may produce notional results for any electoral division in a redistributed state or territory. At the tail-end of a mining boom, it is imperative that we have a plan for jobs in the future. . in Western Australia".. Hastie will be PM by 2028 . Its a foundational issue to society and people should decide, not the political elite. Results 1983-2019. She said she wanted to be there for the people of Canning - hoping to bring more tourism to the area and get money back into the region. A property valuer who previously contested the seat at the 2010 federal election and was the Australian Christians lead candidate for the Senate in 2013. Results 1983-2016, FRASER ANNING'S CONSERVATIVE NATIONAL PARTY. Its also not an ethnically diverse electorate. Clarke grew up in the great southern before moving to the central wheatbelt where his family worked in agriculture. We need to be supporting these types of industries for our long-term prosperity and sustainability. By Nathan Hondros. ), Labor's support in Canning has followed the downward trend of Labor's vote state-wide, dropping below the state vote since the inclusion of Halls Head and more rural areas in 2001, and Mandurah and further rural areas since 2010. School board members earn $125 per board meeting, up to $250 a month, and are reimbursed for mileage for travel related to work for the school district, said district Treasurer Sadie Fox. A: I think if the Liberals can limit the swing to below 8%, they can spin that. Armadale, though, is a different story, because its fairly blue-collar and has a lot of first-home buyers.

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